Confirmation Bias

I've tried.

“The human understanding when it has once adopted an opinion, draws all things else to support and agree with it. And though there be a greater number and weight of instances to be found on the other side, yet these it either neglects and despises, or else by some distinction sets aside and rejects.”

— Francis Bacon

“The desire to be right and the desire to have been right are two desires, and the sooner we separate them the better off we are. The desire to be right is the thirst for truth. On all counts, both practical and theoretical, there is nothing but good to be said for it. The desire to have been right, on the other hand, is the pride that goeth before a fall. It stands in the way of our seeing we were wrong, and thus blocks the progress of our knowledge.”

-The Web of Belief, Willard V. Quine and J.S. Ullian

In a recent conversation with a loved one I expressed my concerns that maybe I am suffering from, “Confirmation Bias.” I mean, I have serious concerns that I may be seeking out information to “disprove” what actually, in esse, has already been conclusively proven, at least to me. I have spent an enormous amount of time attempting to confirm and deny, at the same time, many of the “religious”enigmas that plague the realm, and situations that effect this land in a personal, historical way, however the conclusion remains unchanged. In spite all of the “excuses,” that I have made up, the conclusion is the same and the shadow of “confirmation bias” remains. Or does it?

“Confirmation bias, people’s tendency to process information by looking for, or interpreting, information that is consistent with their existing beliefs. This biased approach to decision making is largely unintentional, and it results in a person ignoring information that is inconsistent with their beliefs. These beliefs can include a person’s expectations in a given situation and their predictions about a particular outcome. People are especially likely to process information to support their own beliefs when an issue is highly important or self-relevant.”

“Confirmation bias is one example of how humans sometimes process information in an illogical, biased manner. The manner in which a person knows and understands the world is often affected by factors that are simply unknown to that person. Philosophers note that people have difficulty processing information in a rational, unbiased manner once they have developed an opinion about an issue. Humans are better able to rationally process information, giving equal weight to multiple viewpoints, if they are emotionally distant from the issue (although a low level of confirmation bias can still occur when an individual has no vested interests).”

“One explanation for why people are susceptible to confirmation bias is that it is an efficient way to process information. Humans are incessantly bombarded with information and cannot possibly take the time to carefully process each piece of information to form an unbiased conclusion. Human decision making and information processing is often biased because people are limited to interpreting information from their own viewpoint. People need to process information quickly to protect themselves from harm. It is adaptive for humans to rely on instinctive, automatic behaviors that keep them out of harm’s way.”

“Another reason why people show confirmation bias is to protect their self-esteem. People like to feel good about themselves, and discovering that a belief that they highly value is incorrect makes them feel bad about themselves. Therefore, people will seek information that supports their existing beliefs. Another closely related motive is wanting to be correct. People want to feel that they are intelligent, but information that suggests that they are wrong or that they made a poor decision suggests they are lacking intelligence—and thus confirmation bias will encourage them to disregard this information.”

“Research has shown that confirmation bias is strong and widespread and that it occurs in several contexts. In the context of decision making, once an individual makes a decision, they will look for information that supports it. Information that conflicts with a person’s decision may cause discomfort, and the person will therefore ignore it or give it little consideration. People give special treatment to information that supports their personal beliefs. In studies examining my-side bias, people were able to generate and remember more reasons supporting their side of a controversial issue than the opposing side. Only when a researcher directly asked people to generate arguments against their own beliefs were they able to do so. It is not that people are incapable of generating arguments that are counter to their beliefs, but, rather, people are not motivated to do so.”

“Confirmation bias is important because it may lead people to hold strongly to false beliefs or to give more weight to information that supports their beliefs than is warranted by the evidence. People may be overconfident in their beliefs because they have accumulated evidence to support them, when in reality they have overlooked or ignored a great deal of evidence refuting their beliefs—evidence which, if they had considered it, should lead them to question their beliefs. These factors may lead to risky decision making and lead people to overlook warning signs and other important information. In this manner, confirmation bias is often a component of lack swan events, which are high-impact events that are unexpected but, in retrospect, appear to be inevitable.”

“Confirmation bias has important implications in the real world, including in medicine, law, and interpersonal relationships. Research has shown that medical doctors are just as likely to have confirmation biases as everyone else. Doctors often have a preliminary hunch regarding the diagnosis of a medical condition early in the treatment process. This hunch can interfere with the doctor’s ability to assess information that may indicate an alternative diagnosis is more likely. Another related outcome is how patients react to diagnoses. Patients are more likely to agree with a diagnosis that supports their preferred outcome than a diagnosis that goes against their preferred outcome. Both of these examples demonstrate that confirmation bias has implications for individuals’ health and well-being.”

“In the context of law, judges and jurors sometimes form an opinion about a defendant’s guilt or innocence before all of the evidence is known. Once a judge or juror forms an opinion, confirmation bias will interfere with their ability to process new information that emerges during a trial, which may lead to unjust verdicts.”

“In interpersonal relations, confirmation bias can be problematic because it may lead a person to form inaccurate and biased impressions of others. This may result in miscommunication and conflict in intergroup settings. In addition, when someone treats a person according to their expectations, that person may unintentionally change their behavior to conform to the other person’s expectations, thereby providing further support for the perceiver’s confirmation bias.”

https://www.britannica.com/science/confirmation-bias

“Confirmation bias is our tendency to cherry-pick information that confirms our existing beliefs or ideas. Confirmation bias explains why two people with opposing views on a topic can see the same evidence and come away feeling validated by it. This cognitive bias is most pronounced in the case of ingrained, ideological, or emotionally charged views. Failing to interpret information in an unbiased way can lead to serious misjudgments. By understanding this, we can learn to identify it in ourselves and others. We can be cautious of data that seems to immediately support our views.”

“The confirmation bias is so fundamental to your development and your reality that you might not even realize it is happening. We look for evidence that supports our beliefs and opinions about the world but excludes those that run contrary to our own… In an attempt to simplify the world and make it conform to our expectations, we have been blessed with the gift of cognitive biases.”

“The most difficult subjects can be explained to the most slow-witted man if he has not formed any idea of them already; but the simplest thing cannot be made clear to the most intelligent man if he is firmly persuaded that he knows already, without a shadow of doubt, what is laid before him.”

Leo Tolstoy

“Beliefs can survive potent logical or empirical challenges. They can survive and even be bolstered by evidence that most uncommitted observers would agree logically demands some weakening of such beliefs. They can even survive the destruction of their original evidential bases.”

Lee Ross and Craig Anderson

“Suppose an individual believes something with his whole heart; suppose further that he has a commitment to this belief, that he has taken irrevocable actions because of it; finally, suppose that he is presented with evidence, unequivocal and undeniable evidence, that his belief is wrong: what will happen? The individual will frequently emerge, not only unshaken but even more convinced of the truth of his beliefs than ever before. Indeed, he may even show a new fervor about convincing and converting people to his view.”

https://fs.blog/confirmation-bias/

I have tried many ways, over many years, to find another culprit. I have tried to convince myself that I am wrong. I have even went so far as to scapegoat others behavior, in a sort of “self-ruse,” just because I refused to face the reality that the entire “construct” was in fact, is in fact, a sophisticated, Messianic lie, coupled with Babylonian trickery, utilized to deceive and destroy the people.

I also tried to give the entire structure the “benefit of the doubt,” but alas, it too comes back to the same old suspects. In fact, the usual suspects, to wit, “Devils cloaked in Religion.” Religion seems to be the catch all cloak for mental illness, and evil deeds.

I have tried every way to “have faith,” in the “religion” foisted upon the realm, my family and this land, but “faith in religion” does not comport with the historical reality, and trying to “confirm” something “non-confirmable” is just as insane as participating in the Messianic fanatics, murderous rampages across the realm “believing” you are helping the Divine. How can one make “righteous” something that is manifestly evil? History bears witness to this fact. How does that work? In fairy tale land it works just fine, but in reality, “It cannot, it never could,” but the people were under a spell and could not see it. They still can’t. They “religiously” justify evil. “It’s the lord’s work,” they cackle, when in reality the “LORD” was not involved, Messianic fanatics were.

It is absolutely clear. Every single notable, mass casualty, violent incident in the historical record, ON THIS LAND, was conducted by people who happened to be Messianic-Christian “believers,” or their supporters in sundry fraternities. Name a travesty ON THIS LAND, et. al., and you will find these same individuals, of the same “religious” mind, the same dogma, with the same course of conduct. These Messianic individuals have done a massive amount of damage to innocent people. They have come to this land, and others under the guise of lowly “settlers” fleeing “religious” persecution, and they immediately, upon arrival, persecute and murder anyone whom they wanted without any second thoughts. It was Deuteronomy 28 in action, with the “settlers” being the “lord” in this example and the people of the land, “animals.”

Again, I have tried, but when one studies the historical records, from the year 1453 onward, the Messianic fanatics have been rampaging across the realm, killing and plundering, while being clandestinely controlled from afar, and “acting” in the persona of “Christians.” Again they killed so many people in the Americas that they changed the temperature of the entire realm, but that was alright, “That was acceptable, “climate change.”

“Colonisation of the Americas at the end of the 15th Century killed so many people, it disturbed Earth's climate, according to a new study by UCL.”

https://www.ucl.ac.uk/news/2019/feb/great-dying-americas-disturbed-earths-climate

“As European colonizers headed to the Americas, they caused what is known as "Great Dying". In 1492 CE, the population of Native Americans was estimated to be 60.5 million by a team from University College London, based on historical records including sizes of armies, census data, and archaeological finds. Over the next century, the team suggests newly-introduced pathogens killed around 90 percent of the population…The Great Dying of the Indigenous Peoples of the Americas resulted in a human-driven global impact on the Earth System in the two centuries prior to the Industrial Revolution."

https://www.iflscience.com/so-many-native-americans-were-killed-during-colonization-it-cooled-the-planet-69396

The record is clear. Why is the record clear? Because the best testimony is direct witness testimony, and the Messianic fanatics, the “end timers,” have no problem bragging about their intentions, beliefs and plots that result in the deracination and extermination of innocent people, realm wide. “Doing the lord's work.” This lord [Little “l”] :

In the July 3, 1933 ritual “re-enactment” at Soldier's Field” in Chicago, one can get a sense of what exactly is being cloaked in “religion.” Does “ALL MIGHTY GOD” appear to be connected to this ritual? Again, “I have tried, every way to make excuses.” The answer is, “NO.” Then if ALL MIGHTY GOD is not there, who is? Watch the film again.

While I don't point fingers at all people who call themselves, “Christians,” or even those who say they are “Jews,” I do point out that these two groups have traditionally, historically and factually been behind a lot of evil, that has resulted in the genocide of innocent people. Not all Jews or Christians are evil, but the core of the “Messianic fanatics” are. They want destruction for their god. They believe they are the hand of their god, and they believe everyone else is “fair game.” They will stop at nothing to fulfill their sick and twisted, made up, fantasy about being on the right side of civilization, while calling others, “Savages.”

For those of brighter lights is is an easy decision to just “not play the game,” to not go for “religion,” politics, academia, or any of the other fables or lies utilized to control the thinking and reactions of people. It's ALL evil, FAKE, PHONY AND A LIE, and religion is the cloak it hides under. All roads lead back to “there.” You heard?

Lord have Mercy